Award Predictions for Division 4A

We are sufficiently advanced in the season to have a pretty good idea of who will be favorites to win each award but the race is extremely close for many of these. The awards for this season are the following.

Quarterback of the season is awarded to the best QB in each division and focuses on the amount of touchdowns, interceptions, sacks, and completion percentage.

2-Way player of the season is awarded to a player who excelled on both sides of the ball and focuses on yards, touchdowns, interceptions, pick-6s, sacks and passes deflected.

Receiver of the season is awarded to the most dominant receiver and is based on yards and touchdowns.

Defensive player of the season is awarded to the most dominant player on defense and takes into consideration interceptions, pick 6s, sacks and passes deflected.

Winning an award is very hard and demonstrates dominance and most importantly consistency on the field. One bad game and you might lose out on one. I will give you my top three picks for each award for 4A in this one and an honorable mention or two if it calls for it. 4B will be available on Saturday before the games.

Division 4A

QB of the season

#3: Brady Ohanessian, Idaho Udapimps

6GP, 26TDs, 6INTs, 4Sk, 60,2%Comp

Whilst I was debating whether Caleb Faulkner was more deserving of this spot, he unfortunately missed two games which means Ohanessian has 2 games in hand. Idaho Udapimps have 4 relatively easy games remaining on their schedule and Ohanessian has been on a tear after a very rough start. He has 19TDs and only 1INT and 1 sack allowed in his last 4 games. His lowest QBR in those games was an excellent 122.6. Unfortunately, his difficult start has probably cost him this award.

#2: Ryan Garber, Trapstars

7GP, 41TDs, 7INTs, 2Sk, 66.5%Comp

Garber currently leads all QBs in TDs with 41 in one less game played than our #1. Unfortunately for him, he’s missed one game which will probably cost him this award in such a tight race. I’m sure there is a picture of this man next to the word consistency in the dictionary. Garber will almost never cost his team a win and has only posted a below 100QBR in 2 games this season (97.6 and 99.9). Averaging almost 200 yards per game, he’s led his team to a 7-0 record when he plays, and remains the only undefeated QB this season. His 7 interceptions are the sole reason he isn’t number 1.

#1 Kris Verreault, Les Otaries Extremes

8GP, 39TDs, 3INTs, 5Sk, 81.1%Comp

Verreault seemed like a lock for this award midway through the season and perhaps the gap has closed a little with Garber in the last 4 games. Going almost perfect with 22TDs and 0INTs in his first 4 games, Verreault seems to have regressed a little bit in his last 4. He’s thrown 17TDs and 3INTs in those games which is still amazing, but not as dominant as his first half of the season was. Obviously the loss to Mofos has hurt his stock a little bit but there is little doubt he is still the favorite. Perhaps the winner will be decided on the last game of his season when he will play none other than Garber’s Trapstars.

2-Way player of the season

#3: Santino Sparagna, Bet Boost Ballers

8GP, 393 yards, 10TDs, 14sacks, 4PDs

Bet Boost Ballers have had a somewhat disappointing season with a 4-4 record when many expected more from them, but Sparagna has delivered. He’s been great offensively despite having to share targets with Oriola Poirier and has been one of the best rushers once again. He’s tied for 8th in TDs, 6th in yards and 3rd in sacks.

#2: Rony Ismeus, Backfield Penetration

6GP, 471 yards, 7TDs, 7INTs, 1 pick 6, 6PDs

Backfield Penetration sit at 5-1 and Rony Ismeus has been their most valuable player. His 471 yards are 3rd in 4A, he sits at 3rd for INTs and 4th for PDs. He’s been absolutely dominant with his speed on both sides of the ball and wouldn’t be as far as he is from our #1 if he had more TDs. Unfortunately his 7TDs just aren’t enough to put him in serious contention at this point and the favorite to win it all has just been too good. Ismeus does have 4 games left and if he has some monster games there is still a chance, but it’s slim.

#1: William Sebag, Trapstars

8GP, 392 yards, 13TDs, 4INTs, 12sacks, 3PDs

Sebag is probably the only lock at this point for any award. He has dominated offensively and defensively and is far above the competition for this award. To put it into context, he’s 7th in yards, tied for 1st in TDs, tied for 5th in INTs and tied for 4th in sacks. He’s one of the biggest reasons for Trapstars’ success and could make a case for being the most valuable player in all of 4A.

Receiver of the season

#3: Kevin Malonga, Les Otaries Extremes

8GP, 378 yards, 13TDs

Malonga is a freak of nature and a mismatch for almost any team he faces. Kris Verreault spreads the ball amongst all his receivers and that hurts Malonga in this race due to the lower amount of yards. His efficiency is ridiculous with 26 catches on 29 targets with an average of 14.5 yards per reception. He’s currently tied for 1st in TDs but 8th in receiving yards, with more than 100 yards less than our #1.

#2: Alexandre Bachaalani, Still C.R.A

8GP, 473 yards, 13TDs

Bachaalani is very accustomed to these high number seasons and he’s already racked up 7 all-star selections and 5 individual awards. He’s a guy I would love to see in higher divisions but he hasn’t made the jump yet, which means he’s a bit underrated in terms of FPF reputation but definitely has the skill. Nirosh Suresh is his QB, and he isn’t a very experienced one, and has struggled at times this season. Despite that, Bachaalani has been consistent and dominant. He’s first in TDs and second in yards.

#1: Oriola Poirier, Bet Boost Ballers

6GP, 496 yards, 12TDs

This race is extremely close. Poirier sits in first in yards and 2nd in TDs. The Concordia receiver has had to miss 2 games due to unforeseen circumstances and despite that is still well in this race. Few are as athletic and dominant as him and when he gets the ball in his hands he is extremely hard to tackle. Caleb Faulkner knows that and lets him make plays. The last 2 games are going to be very decisive but I think Poirier pulls out ahead in this contest.

Defensive player of the season

This award is always the toughest to judge because it includes both rushers and DBs. To remedy this, I’ve come up with a very scientific and elaborate point system to evaluate each defensive stat (It’s not scientific at all).

How much do I value a sack versus an interception? Sacks are very situational, and don’t necessarily equal a defensive stop while an interception guarantees it. I’m going to have a little fun with this one and give point values to each defensive stat, based on its turnover value. The point values are arbitrary but I feel they do a good enough job of determining how they influence a possession.

Interceptions: 1

An interception equals 1 because it automatically guarantees a defensive stop.

Sacks: 0.5

A sack isn’t a guarantee of a stop, but it makes it approximately twice as hard to get a first down.

Pick 6: Extra 0.5

A pick 6 gives an extra 0.5 bump because it’s cool and definitely adds some value (probably not 0.5 as it suggests an offense would score 50% of the time, but come on, it’s a pick 6, I have to give it significant points).

PD: 0.25

A PD is also probably not worth 0.25, but some PDs can be in very clutch 3rd or 4th down situations and then their value would be higher, so I think 0.25 is a fair middle ground.

Let’s now calculate.

Here are the top 10 in defensive value.

William Sebag: 10.75

Zackary Alberts-Gill: 9.75

Rony Ismeus: 9

Oumar Toure: 8.75

Jordy Melnyk: 8.75

Ethan Adrian: 8.25

Santino Sparagna: 8

Xavier Sauve: 6.75

Ryan Mcnally: 6.25

Khalil Agrebi: 6.25

So according to these not so fancy calculations, this is the amount of defensive stops each player is responsible for, and we know how valuable defensive stops are in FPF.

My winner would then be Zackary Alberts-Gill who has only played 5 games and has three yet to play. Sebag would be the favorite if he wasn’t the favorite for 2-way.

Ismeus, Toure, Melnyk, Adrian and Sparagna are all still in contention and could make a push with some big games down the last stretch of the season.

There you have it for this week’s article in Div4A. Div4B, as I said earlier, will be available on Saturday.

Thank you for reading.